Expert: prolonged port strike will damage US economy
Freight experts believe the US economy is facing deeper trouble, the longer strike action continues at US ports.
They are urging the federal government to intervene and get freight moving again, even though President Biden has refused to get involved.
A leading provider of ocean and air freight intelligence said the port strikes were already set to cause major supply chain disruption into 2025, with Government intervention needed to prevent damage to the economy.
The International Longshoremen’s Association yesterday went ahead with strike action at US ports from Maine to Texas and simultaneously accused ocean container carriers of “gouging customers”.
The ILA claimed ocean container carriers are now charging $30,000 per container, up from $6,000.
But Oslo-based freight experts Xeneta said that was fake news.
Xeneta is a leading ocean and air freight rate benchmarking and market analytics platform for the shipping and logistics industry.
The Norwegian company said its data – based on more than 450 million crowdsourced datapoints – showed the ILA claim was misleading.
A statement said the average spot rates on the major fronthaul from the Far East to US East Coast stand at around $7,000 per FEU, or 40ft container, as of October 1. They calculated that while average spot rates from North Europe to the US East Coast had increased 50 per cent since the end of August, they were still only $2,800 per FEU.
Peter Sand, Xeneta chief analyst, said: “The union is representing its members and clearly has grievances to raise but muddying the waters with misinformation does nothing to help resolve the situation.
“More than 40 per cent of containerised goods enter the US through the East and Gulf Coast so this strike will cause carnage across supply chains and damage the US economy. Now is the time for cool heads and diplomacy rather than scaremongering and fake news.”
To provide further context to the ILA’s claim of $30,000 per FEU freight rates, the company said the all-time record average spot rate on the trade from North Europe to the US East Coast was set during the Covid-19 period in May 2022 at $8,790 per FEU.
The all-time record on the trade from the Far East to US East Coast was also set during the Covid-19 era when it reached $12,400 per FEU in January 2022.
Mr Sand said: “This claim by the ILA must be corrected because we have seen in the past how rumour and false information causes panic in the market and spiralling freight rates as shippers rush to protect supply chains.
“If a shipper does not have access to data to benchmark their own freight rates, they may believe the ILA’s claim of $30,000 per container and the market enters a vicious circle of higher and higher rates being paid.
“It cannot be ruled out that one desperate shipper has paid $30,000 in a very extreme example, but this freight rate is certainly not representative of the market.”
Sand has reiterated his belief that government intervention will be required to bring the dispute to an end.
He said: “The latest statement by the ILA suggests there is very little prospect of the two sides reaching a mutually agreeable resolution. To stop trade from entering the US on such a scale for a prolonged period of time is unthinkable so the Government will need to step in for the good of its people and economy.
“The longer the strike action goes on and the longer it takes the US Government to intervene, the deeper the damage will be to the economy and the longer it will take for ocean supply chains to recover.”
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