The resignation of Kathy Lynn Simmons from Parliament has sparked an interesting challenge for her replacement. This can be an electoral decision that may indeed prove to be a bellwether for any future elections.

As it stands, there are four political camps — the Progressive Labour Party, the One Bermuda Alliance, the Free Democratic Movement and the independents. None of them can afford to back out because this by-election is critical to the political psyche of an electorate anxious to see which way the tide of opinion is flowing.

The Smith’s South by-election was an interesting teaser, but Sandys North has the potential to be instructive. The mainstream PLP and OBA will be tested by the FDM and the independents. If either of the latter has a measurable impact on the result, it will shape the future of elections. Should either win, say an independent, it could have a Kamala Harris effect and be difficult, if not impossible, to stop.

This may be the “Thrilla in Manila” or a referendum on whether there is a vote for change or to ratify the present government. If it’s a vote for change, it would also indicate what kind of change — in personality or substance.

Whatever the stakes indicate, we can be sure no one is taking this election lightly. The seat must be filled in two months; therefore, the retirement of Ms Simmons may have sparked a dilemma where the Premier decides the test is too risky and may call for a General Election instead.

In some ways, Ms Simmons needs to be applauded for not hanging around as a dissident. She made a decisive decision and caused the country to experience this critical moment.

I would be dishonest if I did not disclose my proclivity favouring change, but that is not something I have any control over. To change or continue as is belongs to the people — only they can decide that fate.