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The changes

This table shows how a variety of political observers believe planned boundary changes will affect Bermuda's constituencies, based on generally accepted voting trends of the past two elections.

It does not take into account the impact of Bermuda Democratic Alliance or voters losing faith in their parties.

St. George's North, Dame Jennifer Smith (PLP) — remains marginal

St. George's West, Kim Swan (UBP) — remains marginal

St. David's, Lovitta Foggo (PLP) — concedes mixed voters to St. George's South

St. George's South, Donte Hunt (BDA, won as UBP) — gains mixed voters from St. Davids; concedes UBP voters to Hamilton South and mixed voters to Hamilton East

Hamilton East, Derrick Burgess (PLP) — remains PLP stronghold

Hamilton West, Wayne Furbert (PLP, won as UBP) — gains PLP voters from Hamilton East, concedes UBP voters to Smith's North

Hamilton South, Darius Tucker (IND, won as UBP) — gains UBP voters from St. George's South, concedes UBP voters to Smith's South

Smith's South, Cole Simons (UBP) — remains UBP stronghold

Smith's West, Trevor Moniz (UBP) — remains UBP stronghold

Devonshire East, Bob Richards (UBP) — gains UBP voters from Smith's West

Devonshire South Central, John Barritt (UBP) — remains UBP stronghold

Devonshire North Central, Glenn Blakeney (PLP) — gains PLP voters from Smith's North and Pembroke East, concedes PLP voters to Devonshire North West

Devonshire North West, Paula Cox (PLP) — remains PLP stronghold

Pembroke East, Walter Roban (PLP) — remains PLP stronghold

Pembroke East Central, Michael Weeks (PLP) — remains PLP stronghold

Pembroke Central, Wayne Perinchief (PLP) — minor changes, remains PLP-leaning

Pembroke West Central, Neletha Butterfield (PLP) — minor changes, remains PLP-leaning

Pembroke West, Shawn Crockwell (BDA, won as UBP) — remains largely unchanged

Pembroke South West, Louise Jackson (UBP) — remains UBP stronghold

Pembroke South East, Ashfield DeVent (PLP) — remains PLP stronghold

Paget East, Grant Gibbons (UBP) — remains UBP stronghold

Paget West, Patricia Gordon-Pamplin (UBP) — remains UBP stronghold

Warwick South East, Alex Scott (PLP) — gains mixed voters from Warwick North East

Warwick North East, Dale Butler (PLP) — gains UBP voters from Warwick North Central and Warwick West

Warwick South Central, Ewart Brown (PLP) — remains PLP stronghold

Warwick North Central, Elvin James (PLP) — concedes UBP voters to Warwick North East

Warwick West, Mark Pettingill (BDA, won as UBP) — concedes UBP voters to Warwick North Central

Southampton East, Stanley Lowe (PLP) — remains PLP stronghold

Southampton East Central, Zane DeSilva (PLP) — concedes PLP voters to Southampton West Central

Southampton West Central, Charlie Swan (UBP) — gains PLP voters from Southampton East Central

Southampton West, Randy Horton (PLP) — remains PLP stronghold

Sandys South, Terry Lister (PLP) — remains PLP stronghold

Sandys South Central, Walter Lister (PLP) — remains PLP stronghold

Sandys North Central, Dennis Lister (PLP) — remains PLP stronghold

Sandys North, Michael Scott (PLP) — remains PLP stronghold