Log In

Reset Password
BERMUDA | RSS PODCAST

Hurricane season predicted to be 'above normal'

Bermuda had a lucky escape last year with Hurricane Igor

The 2011 Atlantic hurricane season will be “above normal”, spawning six to ten hurricanes of which around half could become major, the US government's weather agency forecast today.In its first forecast for the season that begins on June 1, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) anticipated 12 to 18 named storms, a somewhat lower level of activity than the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season.Six to ten of those storms were seen developing into hurricanes, of which three to six could become major at Category 3 or above, with winds of more than 110 mph (177 kph), the agency said.“NOAA's forecast team is calling for an above-normal season this year,” NOAA Administrator Jane Lubchenco told a news conference outside the agency's Satellite Operations Facility.But she added NOAA's forecasting capacity could not yet pinpoint where or when a hurricane would hit. “This hurricane outlook does not make any predictions about landfall, either place or timing.”NOAA's 2011 outlook mirrored earlier predictions from private forecasters calling for an active hurricane season this year.The hurricane season officially starts on June 1 and typically peaks between late August and mid-October. An average Atlantic hurricane season brings 11 tropical storms with six hurricanes, including two major hurricanes, NOAA said.The 2010 season produced 19 named storms, tying for the third most active season with 1887 and 1995, according to the U.S. National Hurricane Center. Twelve storms grew into hurricanes, tying with 1969 for the second most active season in that category.The activity last year was in line with NOAA's spring 2010 forecast that called for 14 to 23 named storms, with eight to 14 developing into hurricanes.But no hurricane made US landfall last year. “This year we are unlikely to see a repeat of last year, where there were a total of 19 named storms ... Despite this tropical onslaught, most of the tropical storms and all of the hurricanes last year fortunately avoided U.S. coastlines, “ Ms Lubchenco said.“We cannot count on having the same luck this year,” she said.