The likelihood of a summer General Election is fading fast, as the Parliamentary Registrar confirmed the people couldn’t go to the polls for at least a month after Premier Paula Cox calls an election.But some within the Progressive Labour Party are hoping the writ will be dropped in the first week after Cup Match, meaning the election would take place in early September.Politicians from all three parties have clicked into full canvassing mode in recent weeks, but with Ms Cox keeping her cards close to her chest many have told The Royal Gazette it’s impossible to predict when the big day will come.Clarifying the parameters yesterday, Registrar Randy Scott said an election would take place at least 33 days after Ms Cox calls it; he pointed out each of the last two elections came around 40 days after they were called by Dame Jennifer Smith and Ewart Brown respectively.That means the earliest an election could be is mid-August — and that would involve Ms Cox choosing to incorporate the Cup Match holiday into an inevitably frenetic pre-election period.PLP members told this newspaper she would be more likely to call an election immediately after Cup Match, meaning it could happen in early September while many students remain on the Island.Her next window would be late 2012, when the students have returned for Christmas; or early January, before they leave again.According to the constitution, the latest an election could take place is May 1 next year — but PLP sources rule out any time after February because that would delay the Budget and throw the Island’s financial organisation into chaos.One PLP source said: “It’s very hard to predict and the Premier is very hard to read. She was advised to call an election shortly after she was elected leader, while the Opposition was in disarray.“But she didn’t want to do it and now time is running out for her. The economy has worsened and there is more infighting in the party.“Many of us hope she will call it straight after Cup Match and go for a 35-day window, and not leave it until Christmas when a lot of people won’t be there. Many people don’t want a yuletide election.”Asked for the minimum length of time which must elapse after the writ is dropped before an election takes place, Mr Scott said: “As long as I can meet my requirements, I would advise a minimum of 33 days. It’s really up to the Premier of the day to make it as long or short as they can best calculate.“For instance in 1998 the period of time for that election was a 20-day call. In 2003 the period was a 42-day call and in 2007 a similar amount of time of a 40-day call.”