Almost 40 percent of likely voters plan to vote for the Opposition One Bermuda Alliance, the latest survey has found.Another 29 percent will vote for the ruling Progressive Labour Party, while three percent plan to vote for the United Bermuda Party.But 24 percent of the respondents said they did not know which way they would vote.Voter apathy is strongest among the Island’s youngest voters, with 17 percent saying they are not likely to vote in the coming election.Research firm MindMaps interviewed 400 registered voters between October 17 and October 29 in a survey weighted to be representative of the 2010 general population census figures by age, race and gender.Eighty percent said they were absolutely certain or very likely to vote in a parliamentary election.Five percent refused to say how they would vote if an election were held tomorrow.Broken down by race, black voters (46 percent) were more likely to say that they would vote PLP, while white voters (71 percent) were more likely to say they would vote OBA.Black voters (26 percent) were also more likely to report that they do not know how they would vote should an election be held tomorrow, compared to 14 percent of white voters.Voter uncertainty was strongest among the Island’s youngest voters, 18- to 34-year-olds, 28 percent of whom said they did not know how they would vote. But they were also more likely to say they would vote for the PLP than all other age groups except for 35- to 44-year-olds, where support for the ruling party was strongest at 46 percent.The 18- to 34-year-olds were more likely to report that they were “not at all likely” to vote (nine percent), “not very likely” to vote (eight percent) or would “possibly” vote.White voters appear to be most motivated to exercise their right to vote, with 77 percent saying they are “absolutely certain” they will vote in a parliamentary election, and 16 percent reporting they were “very likely” to do so. Seven percent of white voters said they will “possibly” vote in a parliamentary election.Among black voters, 47 percent said they were “absolutely certain” to vote in a parliamentary election, 27 percent “very likely” and 16 percent would “possibly” vote.Other responses among black registered voters were “not very likely” (four percent), and “not at all likely” (four percent).Two percent said they did not know if they would vote in a parliamentary election.OBA support is stronger among middle-aged voters and senior citizens, according to the survey which found opposition party support among 42 percent of 45- to 54-year-olds, 48 percent of 55- to 64-year-olds and 43 percent of voters 65 and older.Support for the UBP, which has only two candidates running in the election, was strongest among white voters, seven percent of whom said they would vote for that party should the election be held tomorrow, and seniors over the age of 65 (five percent).Respondents were also asked how they voted in the 2007 election. Forty-four percent said they voted PLP while 34 percent said they had voted UBP. Eight percent reported that they did not vote in 2007, while seven percent said they don’t know how they voted and another seven percent refused to answer.Voter turnout in 2007 was 74 percent, with 52.45 percent of the votes going to the PLP and 47.34 percent going to the UBP.OBA Chairman Thad Hollis said that the results did not come as a surprise to his party.“The poll reflects what we have been hearing on doorsteps, on the streets and at community meetings, in thousands of conversations across many months.“So we are not surprised to learn that just 3 out of 10 Bermudians now support the Government and that seven out of 10 think the Island is on the wrong track,” Mr Hollis said.“People are hurting. Thousands are unemployed, families are struggling to make ends meet and there is widespread uncertainty about the future. People say it’s time for change.“The poll, which is consistent with our own internal polling, also shows the OBA lead growing to double digits. We expect this to increase as we continue to speak about our plans to turn around the economy, grow jobs, restore safety to our neighbourhoods and build great schools — for a Bermuda based on social and economic equity for all, leaving no one behind.”PLP spokesman Curtis Williams said: “Between now and Election Day there will be many polls. The PLP is not focused on polls; we are focused on standing strong for Bermudians during these tough economic times. We are focused on outlining a bold vision for governance in the Throne Speech where we will build on the success of programmes that we’ve championed like the EEZ, DayCare, FutureCare and historic investments in infrastructure.“The OBA has put forward an irresponsible fairy tale of a plan that will create $500 million of new debt. Meanwhile the OBA has not told the Bermudian people what they will cut to pay for their reckless plan.”