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Conditions favourable for tropical storm development

Possible tropical weather scenarios for next week (Image from AccuWeather)

Meteorologists have warned that the 2024 hurricane season is not over yet, with the possibility of more storms forming as soon as this week.

Weather forecasting company AccuWeather said that the Atlantic could experience a late flurry of storm activity, with one to three named storms before the end of next month.

Alex DaSilva, AccuWeather lead hurricane expert, said: “We’ve been saying since March that the end of this year’s hurricane season could be quite active.”

While the firm said it was unlikely that a storm could impact the western Gulf of Mexico because of weather patterns in effect, a strike to Florida or the US East Coast were considered to be possible.

The firm said that surface water temperatures remained at almost record-high levels in the Caribbean and it was possible that the next tropical storm forms before the end of this week with early signs of development in the southern Caribbean.

“As the area of high pressure builds to the north, it’s going to create a very favourable environment for intensification,” Mr DaSilva said.

“This could lead to a tropical storm or even a hurricane in the first few days of November. We expect very little wind shear, and the water temperatures are exceptionally warm for this time of year.”

While the hurricane season concludes at the end of November, Mr DaSilva said there was potential for a postseason storm.

“It doesn’t happen very often, but the very warm sea-surface temperatures could make it possible this year,” he said.

Forecasters had warned that 2024 would be a busier-than-average season, citing unusually warm waters and the likelihood of La Niña conditions, which are conducive to storm development.

So far, a total of 15 named storms have been recorded including ten hurricanes, four of which were classified as major hurricanes because they reached at least Category 3 strength.

The average hurricane season features 14.4 named storms, with 7.2 hurricanes and 3.2 major hurricanes.

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Published October 29, 2024 at 7:51 am (Updated October 29, 2024 at 7:30 am)

Conditions favourable for tropical storm development

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